VIX Chart finanzen.net

@WSJ: All the obvious hedges against stock-market volatility—Treasurys, gold, bitcoin and the VIX volatility index—stopped working in September, writes @jmackin2 https://t.co/FzoJg5P5Z9

@WSJ: All the obvious hedges against stock-market volatility—Treasurys, gold, bitcoin and the VIX volatility index—stopped working in September, writes @jmackin2 https://t.co/FzoJg5P5Z9 submitted by -en- to newsbotbot [link] [comments]

Bitcoin, unemployment rates, Nasdaq, VIX, gaps getting filled, US indices, EURUSD, gold & stock markets disconnecting from the real economy (Bitcoin & Macro)

Bitcoin, unemployment rates, Nasdaq, VIX, gaps getting filled, US indices, EURUSD, gold & stock markets disconnecting from the real economy (Bitcoin & Macro) submitted by CoinCompassBTC to Bitcoin [link] [comments]

VIX Index Shows Stocks ‘Fear’ Most Since 2008 Crisis, Birth of Bitcoin

VIX Index Shows Stocks ‘Fear’ Most Since 2008 Crisis, Birth of Bitcoin submitted by Ranzware to BitNewsLive [link] [comments]

Bitcoin Price May Be 'Fear Gauge' for Stock Market: VIX Analyst

Bitcoin Price May Be 'Fear Gauge' for Stock Market: VIX Analyst submitted by DedMozai to ethtrader [link] [comments]

Bitcoin Price May Be 'Fear Gauge' for Stock Market: VIX Analyst

Bitcoin Price May Be 'Fear Gauge' for Stock Market: VIX Analyst submitted by DedMozai to CryptoMarkets [link] [comments]

Bitcoin is interplanetary bubble #5 (between #4 short VIX ETFs and #6 FAANG stocks) according to Algebris Investments

Bitcoin is interplanetary bubble #5 (between #4 short VIX ETFs and #6 FAANG stocks) according to Algebris Investments submitted by pinhead26 to Bitcoin [link] [comments]

The Bitcoin price could be a "measure of fear" for stock markets: VIX Analyst

The Bitcoin price could be a submitted by BusinessDigit to Cryptos_and_business [link] [comments]

Bitcoin Price May Be 'Fear Gauge' for Stock Market: VIX Analyst

Bitcoin Price May Be 'Fear Gauge' for Stock Market: VIX Analyst submitted by arcral to AlternativeCoin [link] [comments]

Bitcoin Price May Be ‘Fear Gauge’ for Stock Market: VIX Analyst

Bitcoin Price May Be ‘Fear Gauge’ for Stock Market: VIX Analyst submitted by ThrillerPodcast to thrillerpodcast [link] [comments]

Daily Analysis: Stocks Slaughtered before the Weekend as VIX Tops 25, Bitcoin Rallies

submitted by ravikaash to Cryptoalert [link] [comments]

Bitcoin is interplanetary bubble #5 (between #4 short VIX ETFs and #6 FAANG stocks) according to Algebris Investments

Bitcoin is interplanetary bubble #5 (between #4 short VIX ETFs and #6 FAANG stocks) according to Algebris Investments submitted by BitcoinAllBot to BitcoinAll [link] [comments]

Record High Stocks, Record Low VIX But Bitcoin, Bonds, & Bullion Bid

Record High Stocks, Record Low VIX But Bitcoin, Bonds, & Bullion Bid submitted by Cryptoknowledge to CryptoCurrency [link] [comments]

Record High Stocks, Record Low VIX But Bitcoin, Bonds, & Bullion Bid

Record High Stocks, Record Low VIX But Bitcoin, Bonds, & Bullion Bid submitted by bitnewsbot to bitnewsbot [link] [comments]

The Four Horsemen - Signs of Incoming Crashes, and things.

Hey y'all! I'm going to keep this brief, but I was asked by Mr. October to post this, since I briefly described this on a discord we're both in. I do a ton of market analysis, mostly on alternative data, so I don't have cool superpowers potentially, but I do fancy myself a good trendspotter.
I wanted to share what I call my Four Horseman metric in brief, and I will fill it in more later when I get back/free from the clutches of homework.
The Four Horsemen:
  1. Rapid plunge in BTC/USD - This is an interesting metric, and makes sense if you understand that BTC has evolved from a hedge to a speculation play, which is why it arguably moves in lockstep with SPY most days. However, an interesting property I and many others have noticed is BTC seems to be a leading indicator of market movements, and rapid climbs/plunges tend to signal an incoming correction. See the chart on September 2nd, 2020 for an example.
  2. NOPE_MAD >= 3 End of Day: NOPE, or Net Option Pricing Effect, in principle looks at how dominant options flow trading volume is on the market compared to the more conventional shares volume. When the NOPE_MAD (median absolute deviation) compared to the previous 30 days is 3 deviations higher than normal, this means a red day the next day about 88% of the time (backtested to Mar 2019). You can check NOPE_MAD intraday here - https://thenope.info/nope/default/charts/SPY/2020-10-13 (the URL changes per day, so tomorrow will be 2020-10-14)
  3. The VIX rising with SPY - This usually is part of the parabolic phase, and means a metric fuck ton of calls are being written, which is pushing up option prices across the board. Usually VIX is a measure of downies-volatility, so when it and SPY both go up, it's a Very Bad Thing. Also see September 2nd, 2020.
  4. Small Tech/Caps Leading Big Tech/Caps - This is a more interesting metric, and only makes sense when you understand what causes a Minsky Moment style correction (irrational exuberance). In a stable market, big caps tend to act as a source of strength/safe harbor, and when small caps are leading, this tends to signal intense bull mania, which usually precedes a correction.
Honorable Mentions:
  1. Microsoft going up parabolically - Microsoft is our favorite boomer stock for a reason - it is much more stable than AMZN or AAPL, and doesn't like large movements. I noticed anecdotally this year that right before all the big tech corrections (3-5 days out) MSFT goes up exponentially, often more than the rest of the market, because smart money is looking for safe harbor.
I'd be happy to answer any questions later!

Edit: Wanted to add some stuff given the comments below.
  1. I did not write this to predict a crash based on today's behavior, but to generally inform about a metric I use to detect Minsky Moment style crashes. For more info on that - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Minsky_moment
  2. Lots of these indicators are new, and due in large part due to the relative fuckiness of the current market. Bitcoin and SPY did not track until this year, and I only noticed the Microsoft effect I mentioned since about 6/5 onwards. This likely also happens in other boomesafe stocks, but MSFT is by far my largest active trading position, hence why I noticed it.
  3. I will be adding a post soon specifically dedicated to the interpretation of NOPE and NOPE_MAD.
submitted by the_lilypad to thecorporation [link] [comments]

DDDD - The Rise of “Buy the Dip” Retail Investors and Why Another Crash Is Imminent

DDDD - The Rise of “Buy the Dip” Retail Investors and Why Another Crash Is Imminent
In this week's edition of DDDD (Data-driven DD), I'll be going over the real reason why we have been seeing a rally for the past few weeks, defying all logic and fundamentals - retail investors. We'll look into several data sets to see how retail interest in stock markets have reached record levels in the past few weeks, how this affected stock prices, and why we've most likely seen the top at this point, unless we see one of the "positive catalysts" that I mentioned in my previous post, which is unlikely (except for more news about Remdesivir).
Disclaimer - This is not financial advice, and a lot of the content below is my personal opinion. In fact, the numbers, facts, or explanations presented below could be wrong and be made up. Don't buy random options because some person on the internet says so; look at what happened to all the SPY 220p 4/17 bag holders. Do your own research and come to your own conclusions on what you should do with your own money, and how levered you want to be based on your personal risk tolerance.
Inspiration
Most people who know me personally know that I spend an unhealthy amount of my free time in finance and trading as a hobby, even competing in paper options trading competitions when I was in high school. A few weeks ago, I had a friend ask if he could call me because he just installed Robinhood and wanted to buy SPY puts after seeing everyone on wallstreetbets post gains posts from all the tendies they’ve made from their SPY puts. The problem was, he actually didn’t understand how options worked at all, and needed a thorough explanation about how options are priced, what strike prices and expiration dates mean, and what the right strategy to buying options are. That’s how I knew we were at the euphoria stage of buying SPY puts - it’s when dumb money starts to pour in, and people start buying securities because they see everyone else making money and they want in, even if they have no idea what they’re buying, and price becomes dislocated from fundementals. Sure enough, less than a week later, we started the bull rally that we are currently in. Bubbles are formed when people buy something not because of logic or even gut feeling, but when people who previously weren’t involved see their dumb neighbors make tons of money from it, and they don’t want to miss out.
A few days ago, I started getting questions from other friends about what stocks they should buy and if I thought something was a good investment. That inspired me to dig a bit deeper to see how many other people are thinking the same thing.
Data
Ever since March, we’ve seen an unprecedented amount of money pour into the stock market from retail investors.
Google Search Trends
\"what stock should I buy\" Google Trends 2004 - 2020
\"what stock should I buy\" Google Trends 12 months
\"stocks\" Google Trends 2004 - 2020
\"stocks\" Google Trends 12 months
Brokerage data
Robinhood SPY holders
\"Robinhood\" Google Trends 12 months
wallstreetbets' favorite broker Google Trends 12 months
Excerpt from E*Trade earnings statement
Excerpt from Schwab earnings statement
TD Ameritrade Excerpt
Media
cnbc.com Alexa rank
CNBC viewership & rankings
wallstreetbets comments / day

investing comments / day
Analysis
What we can see from Reddit numbers, Google Trends, and CNBC stats is that in between the first week of March and first week of April, we see a massive inflow of retail interest in the stock market. Not only that, but this inflow of interest is coming from all age cohorts, from internet-using Zoomers to TV-watching Boomers. Robinhood SPY holdings and earnings reports from E*Trade, TD Ameritrade, and Schwab have also all confirmed record numbers of new clients, number of trades, and assets. There’s something interesting going on if you look closer at the numbers. The numbers growth in brokers for designed for “less sophisticated” investors (i.e. Robinhood and E*Trade) are much larger than for real brokers (i.e. Schwab and Ameritrade). This implies that the record number of new users and trade volume is coming from dumb money. The numbers shown here only really apply to the US and Canada, but there’s also data to suggest that there’s also record numbers of foreign investors pouring money into the US stock market as well.
However, after the third week of March, we see the interest start to slowly decline and plateau, indicating that we probably have seen most of those new investors who wanted to have a long position in the market do so.
SPX daily
Rationale
Pretty much everything past this point is purely speculation, and isn’t really backed up by any solid data so take whatever I say here with a cup of salt. We could see from the graph that new investor interest started with the first bull trap we saw in the initial decline from early March, and peaking right after the end of the crash in March. So it would be fair to guess that we’re seeing a record amount of interest in the stock market from a “buy the dip” mentality, especially from Robinhood-using Millennials. Here’s a few points on my rationalization of this behavior, based on very weak anecdotal evidence
  • They missed out of their chance of getting in the stock market at the start of the bull market that happened at the end of 2009
  • They’ve all seen the stock market make record gains throughout their adult lives, but believing that the market might be overheated, they were waiting for a crash
  • Most of them have gotten towards the stage of their lives where they actually have some savings and can finally put some money aside for investments
  • This stock market crash seems like their once-in-a-decade opportunity that they’ve been waiting for, so everyone jumped in
  • Everyone’s stuck at their homes with vast amounts of unexpected free time on their hands
Most of these new investors got their first taste in the market near the bottom, and probably made some nice returns. Of course, since they didn’t know what they were doing, they probably put a very small amount of money at first, but after seeing a 10% return over one week, validating that maybe they do know something, they decide to slowly pour in more and more of their life savings. That’s what’s been fueling this bull market.
Sentiment & Magic Crayons
As I mentioned previously, this bull rally will keep going until enough bears convert to bulls. Markets go up when the amount of new bullish positions outnumber the amount of new bearish positions, and vice versa. Record amounts of new investors, who previously never held a position in the market before, fueled the bullish side of this equation, despite all the negative data that has come out and dislocating the price from fundamentals. All the smart money that was shorting the markets saw this happening, and flipped to become bulls because you don’t fight the trend, even if the trend doesn’t reflect reality.
From the data shown above, we can see new investor interest growth has started declining since mid March and started stagnating in early April. The declining volume in SPY since mid-March confirms this. That means, once the sentiment of the new retail investors starts to turn bearish, and everyone figures out how much the stocks they’re holding are really worth, another sell-off will begin. I’ve seen something very similar to this a few years ago with Bitcoin. Near the end of 2017, Bitcoin started to become mainstream and saw a flood of retail investors suddenly signing up for Coinbase (i.e. Robinhood) accounts and buying Bitcoin without actually understanding what it is and how it works. Suddenly everyone, from co-workers to grandparents, starts talking about Bitcoin and might have thrown a few thousand dollars into it. This appears to be a very similar parallel to what’s going on right now. Of course there’s differences here in that equities have an intrinsic value, although many of them have gone way above what they should be intrinsically worth, and the vast majority of retail investors don’t understand how to value companies. Then, during December, when people started thinking that the market was getting a bit overheated, some started taking their profits, and that’s when the prices crashed violently. This flip in sentiment now look like it has started with equities.
SPY daily
Technical Analysis, or magic crayons, is a discipline in finance that uses statistical analysis to predict market trends based on market sentiment. Of course, a lot of this is hand-wavy and is very subjective; two people doing TA on the same price history can end up getting opposite results, so TA should always be taken with a grain of salt and ideally be backed with underlying justification and not be blindly followed. In fact, I’ve since corrected the ascending wedge I had on SPY since my last post since this new wedge is a better fit for the new trading data.
There’s a few things going on in this chart. The entire bull rally we’ve had since the lows can be modelled using a rising wedge. This is a pattern where there is a convergence of a rising support and resistance trendline, along with falling volume. This indicates a slow decline in net bullish sentiment with investors, with smaller and smaller upside after each bounce off the support until it hits a resistance. The smaller the bounces, the less bullish investors are. When the bearish sentiment takes over across investors, the price breaks below this wedge - a breakdown, and indicates a start of another downtrend.
This happened when the wedge hit resistance at around 293, which is around the same price as the 200 day moving average, the 62% retracement (considered to be the upper bound of a bull trap), and a price level that acted as a support and resistance throughout 2019. The fact that it gapped down to break this wedge is also a strong signal, indicating a sudden swing in investor sentiment overnight. The volume of the break down also broke the downwards trend of volume we’ve had since the beginning of the bull rally, indicating a sudden surge of people selling their shares. This doesn’t necessarily mean that we will go straight from here, and I personally think that we will see the completion of a heads-and-shoulders pattern complete before SPY goes below 274, which in itself is a strong support level. In other words, SPY might go from 282 -> 274 -> 284 -> 274 before breaking the 274 support level.
VIX Daily
Doing TA is already sketchy, and doing TA on something like VIX is even more sketchy, but I found this interesting so I’ll mention it. Since the start of the bull rally, we’ve had VIX inside a descending channel. With the breakdown we had in SPY yesterday, VIX has also gapped up to have a breakout from this channel, indicating that we may see future volatility in the next week or so.
Putting Everything Together
Finally, we get to my thesis. This entire bull rally has been fueled by new retail investors buying the dip, bringing the stock price to euphoric levels. Over the past few weeks, we’ve been seeing the people waiting at the sidelines for years to get into the stock market slowly FOMO into the rally in smaller and smaller volumes, while the smart money have been locking in their profits at an even slower rate - hence an ascending wedge. As the amount of new retail interest in the stock market started slowed down, the amount of new bulls started to decline. It looks like Friday might have been the start of the bearish sentiment taking over, meaning it’s likely that 293 was the top, unless any significant bullish events happen in the next two weeks like a fourth round of stimulus, in which case we might see 300. This doesn’t mean we’ll instantly go back to circuit breakers on Monday, and we might see 282 -> 274 -> 284 -> 274 happen before panic, this time by the first-time investors, eventually bringing us down towards SPY 180.
tldr; we've reached the top
EDIT - I'll keep a my live thoughts here as we move throughout this week in case anyone's still reading this and interested.
5/4 8PM - /ES was red last night but steadily climbed, which was expected since 1h RSI was borderline oversold, leaving us to a slightly green day. /ES looks like it has momentum going up, but is approaching towards overbought territory now. Expecting it to go towards 284 (possibly where we'll open tomorrow) and bouncing back down from that price level
5/5 Market Open - Well there goes my price target. I guess at this point it might go up to 293 again, but will need a lot of momentum to push back there to 300. Seems like this is being driven by oil prices skyrocketing.
5/5 3:50PM - Volume for the upwards price action had very little volume behind it. Seeing a selloff EOD today, could go either way although I have a bearish bias. Going to hold cash until it goes towards one end of the 274-293 channel (see last week's thesis). Still believe that we will see it drop below 274 next week, but we might be moving sideways in the channel this week and a bit of next week before that happens. Plan for tomorrow is buy short dated puts if open < 285. Otherwise, wait till it goes to 293 before buying those puts
5/5 6PM - What we saw today could be a false breakout above 284. Need tomorrow to open below 285 for that to be confirmed. If so, my original thesis of it going back down to 274 before bouncing back up will still be in play.
5/6 EOD - Wasn't a false breakout. Looks like it's still forming the head-and-shoulders pattern mentioned before, but 288 instead of 284 as the level. Still not sure yet so I'm personally going to be holding cash and waiting this out for the next few days. Will enter into short positions if we either go near 293 again or drop below 270. Might look into VIX calls if VIX goes down near 30.
5/7 Market Open - Still waiting. If we break 289 we're probably heading to 293. I'll make my entry to short positions when we hit that a second time. There's very little bullish momentum left (see MACD 1D), so if we hit 293 and then drop back down, we'll have a MACD crossover event which many traders and algos use as a sell signal. Oil is doing some weird shit.
5/7 Noon - Looks like we're headed to 293. Picked up VIX 32.5c 5/27 since VIX is near 30.
5/7 11PM - /ES is hovering right above 2910, with 4h and 1h charts are bullish from MACD and 1h is almost overbought in RSI. Unless something dramatic happens we'll probably hit near 293 tomorrow, which is where I'll get some SPY puts. We might drop down before ever touching it, or go all the way to 295 (like last time) during the day, but expecting it to close at or below 293. After that I'm expecting a gap down Monday as we start the final leg down next week towards 274. Expecting 1D MACD to crossover in the final leg down, which will be a signal for bears to take over and institutions / day traders will start selling again
5/8 Market Open - Plan is to wait till a good entry today, either when technicals looks good or we hit 293, and then buy some SPY June 285p and July 275p
5/8 Noon - Everything still going according to plan. Most likely going to slowly inch towards 293 by EOD. Will probably pick up SPY puts and more VIX calls at power hour (3 - 4PM). Monday will probably gap down, although there's a small chance of one more green / sideways day before that happens if we have bullish catalysts on the weekend.
5/8 3:55PM - SPY at 292.60. This is probably going to be the closest we get to 293. Bought SPY 290-260 6/19 debit spreads and 292-272 5/15 debit spreads, as well as doubling down on VIX calls from yesterday, decreasing my cost basis. Still looks like there's room for one more green day on Monday, so I left some money on the side to double down if that's the case, although it's more likely than not we won't get there.
5/8 EOD - Looks like we barely touched 293 exactly AH before rebounding down. Too bad you can't buy options AH, but more convinced we'll see a gap down on Monday. Going to work on another post over the weekend and do my updates there. Have a great weekend everyone!
submitted by ASoftEngStudent to wallstreetbets [link] [comments]

8/18 Near Record, Stock Splits Bullish

Market Notes:
The S&P 500 is still very close to record highs although hasn't actually been able to cross the line just yet. Could be today, the market is not showing signs of slowing down.
AAPL and TSLA have both announced a stock split in recent weeks. This doesn't actually change anything but the market has reacted very bullishly.
Buffet's big bet on GOLD helped pushed the price of gold higher and Bitcoin climbed to new 52-week highs.
There are some China tensions that don't appear to be having much impact on the markets. The VIX is dropping, futures are up and everything appears bullish on a slow Tuesday.
Watchlist:
CLPS is a low float, resistance at $4.71
FORD is a low float, watching for a setup above $2.71
KIRK is a low float, on watch
QUMU is a low float, support at $5.50
REDU is a low float, support at $6
LXU is a lowish float, watching for a setup above $3.21
ICLK key level is $8.50
PEIX watching for a setup above $4.60
LAC key level at $9
CBAY resistance at $7
TRIL has resistance at $9.66
MIK has resistance at $9
FINV has resistance at $2.50
PACB has resistance at $6.25
PLUG has resistance at $12.34
submitted by tradingforkeeps to StockMarket [link] [comments]

8/18 Near Record, Stock Splits Bullish

Market Notes:
The S&P 500 is still very close to record highs although hasn't actually been able to cross the line just yet. Could be today, the market is not showing signs of slowing down.
AAPL and TSLA have both announced a stock split in recent weeks. This doesn't actually change anything but the market has reacted very bullishly.
Buffet's big bet on GOLD helped pushed the price of gold higher and Bitcoin climbed to new 52-week highs.
There are some China tensions that don't appear to be having much impact on the markets. The VIX is dropping, futures are up and everything appears bullish on a slow Tuesday.
Watchlist:
CLPS is a low float, resistance at $4.71
FORD is a low float, watching for a setup above $2.71
KIRK is a low float, on watch
QUMU is a low float, support at $5.50
REDU is a low float, support at $6
LXU is a lowish float, watching for a setup above $3.21
ICLK key level is $8.50
PEIX watching for a setup above $4.60
LAC key level at $9
CBAY resistance at $7
TRIL has resistance at $9.66
MIK has resistance at $9
FINV has resistance at $2.50
PACB has resistance at $6.25
PLUG has resistance at $12.34
submitted by tradingforkeeps to Daytrading [link] [comments]

New Highs

For Trading September 3RD
PROFIT TAKING HITS TSLA, AAPL, & ZM
New Highs for NAZ & S&P-500
Today’s market started higher on the futures action and with the exception of 10:45 – 12:00 it never looked back. There was really nothing special about the economic numbers and the DJIA finished +454.84 (1.59%), NASDAQ +116.77 (.98%), S & P 500 +54.19 (1.54%), the Russell +13.71 (.87%), and the DJ Transports + 134.82 (1.19%). The surprise was the VIX also gaining, although not much, but up on a day like today, I would expect it to go lower. Factory orders were +6.4% vs an expected 5.7, ADP payroll was a disappointing +428M vs 1.17Million expected, and MBA mortgage apps were -2%. Tomorrow is Initial and continuing claims, ISM non-manufacturing and productivity and labor costs. Our “open forum” on Discord, which allows me to interact with subscribers and others to allow direct questions and chart opinions on just about any stock, continues to grow with more participants every day. It is informative and allows me to share insights as the market is open and moving. The link is: https://discord.gg/ATvC7YZ and I will be there and active from before the open and all day. It’s a great place to share ideas and gain some insights, and we’ve grown to almost 3000 members. I also returned to my radio show today with a great live interview with the Chief Medical Officer of JANONE (JAN) and it was a great show. This is the link to the audio recording including my discussion of the market and the very exciting story of JAN’s phenomenal NON-OPIOID Pain Med! This is the link: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oCFCxnijFO4 Enjoy!! TODAY’S RADIO SHOW: https://youtu.be/nwRM60J1Mu0 With my guest: Dennis Marlow! Tonight’s closing comment video: https://youtu.be/d8cQvBkJ9Ow
SECTORS: We had a pullback in the biggest gainers with AAPL, TSLA, ZM, and CRM. None gave up anything exceptional compared with their recent performance. CRM had the distinction of being the biggest loser in its first week in the averages shedding 30 DPs. On the other hand, AMGN had the biggest gain of 48 DPs today in its first week.
Due to the lateness I’m going to shorten tonight’s NOTE and use only the biggest movers and the ETF changes. FOOD SUPPLY CHAIN was HIGHER with KR +1.21 (3.42%), CPB +1.70 (3.31%), and PBJ $34.99 +.61 (1.77%).
BIOPHARMA was HIGHER with ICPT +1.51, ISRG +23.54 (3.17%). And IBB $134.97 +1.95 (1.47%).
CANNABIS: was LOWER with KERN -.49 (8.7%), CURLF -.39 (4.77%), and MJ $12.41 +.02 (.16%).
DEFENSE: was HIGHER with BWXT +2.04 (3.71%), and ITA $170.48 +3.21 (1.92%).
RETAIL: was HIGHER with M -.08 (1.14%), RL +2.42 (3.5%), and XRT $53.27 +.30 (.57%).
FAANG and Big Cap: were HIGHER with GOOGL +63.92 (3.86%), TSLA -37.79 (7.95%), and XLK $127.03 +1.12 (.89%). PLEASE BE AWARE THAT THESE PRICES ARE LATE MARKET QUOTES AND DO NOT REPRESENT THE 4:00 CLOSES.
FINANCIALS were HIGHER with GS +5.29 (2.57%), TRV +2.80 (2.44%), and XLF $25.49 +.36 (1.43%).
OIL, $41.51 -1.25. Oil was lower in today’s trading before we fell to the bottom of the day’s range. The stocks were LOWER with XLE $35.24 -.17 (.48%).
GOLD $1,944.70 -34.20, rose early in the session and moved higher to the 2,001 range before falling back to close midrange. I am still a bull on the metal, and we have a September bull call spread on using NEM 65/70 calls with a cost of $1.45, which closed today @ $2.32.
BITCOIN: closed $11460 -615. After breaking out over $10,000 we have had a “running correction” pushing prices toward $12,000, reaching a recovery high of $12220 Thursday, and after a day of rest in between, we resumed the rally touching $12,635, but have sold off back to support. We had 750 shares of GBTC and sold off 250 last week at $13.93 and still have 500 with a cost of $8.45. GBTC closed $13.20 -.65 today.
Tomorrow is another day.
CAM
submitted by Dashover to OptionsOnly [link] [comments]

WDAY, ULTA, ABT, TSLA

For Trading August 28th
!
New Highs for NAZ & S&P-500
INITIAL CLAIMS OVER 1MM TIKTOK &WMT?
Today’s market was another split affair with the DJIA +160.35 (.57%) and the NASDAQ -39.72 (.34%), S&P 500 +5.82 (.17%), the Russell +4.37 (.28%), DJ Transport +79 (.71%), with a gain, second day in a row of the VIX also higher 24.47 +1.20 (5.16%). That lost one is both unusual and ominous in my book. A/D was also split with the NYSE 4:3 UP and NASDAQ 9:8 Down with light volume again. Initial claims were again over 1 million with continuing very slightly lower at 14,535,000, but the big number (although it was just preliminary and changeable) was the decline in Q2 GDP -31.7%. Chairman Powell spoke at the virtual Jackson Hole meeting and made the startling comment that he still doesn’t see any inflation and since they haven’t been able to hit their marks, they are reevaluating the actual definition of what they consider inflation! Clearly, he doesn’t go grocery shopping, or buy kids sneakers or school supplies. What a putz! Like that idiot Wilbur Ross who quoted prices at 7-11 for beer and Campbell’s soup. These people have less than no understanding of what it’s like in the real world.
Our “open forum” on Discord, which allows me to interact with subscribers and others to allow direct questions and chart opinions on just about any stock, continues to grow with more participants every day. It is informative and allows me to share insights as the market is open and moving. The link is: https://discord.gg/ATvC7YZ and I will be there and active from before the open and all day. It’s a great place to share ideas and gain some insights, and we’ve grown to almost 3000 members. I also returned to my radio show today with a great live interview with the Chief Medical Officer of JANONE (JAN) and it was a great show. This is the link to the audio recording including my discussion of the market and the very exciting story of JAN’s phenomenal NON-OPIOID Pain Med! This is the link: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RNCWw2by2wI Enjoy!!
Tonight’s closing comment video: https://youtu.be/AQ_FSMkj-Fg
SECTORS: The day started with the ABT news of the FDA granting the expedited approval of a $5.00, 15-minute “antigen” test for Covid-19. It is expected that Mr. Trump will announce a deal for $750 million for the manufacture and sale of the test to be ramped up immediately. Never let a good pandemic go to waste during an RNC convention, virtual or not! The stock traded as high as $117 in premarket but could only hit $114 in the real world and while higher on the day, it finished $111.29 +8.10 (7.85%) but nearer the lows. WMT was the power behind the DJIA adding 41 DP’s on the news that it was interested in sharing TIK TOK with MSFT, also a winner adding 38 DP’s too. So, half the net change in those two names. After the close we had numbers from ULTA, a beat top and bottom lines trading to $270.80 and finishing $256.64 +32.69 (14.65%), WDAY also beat and after closing $216.63 +3.01, after adding $20 yesterday on the CRM pop, traded $246 before closing $242.50 +25.87 (12.3%). Also reporting were HPQ 19.36 +.60 (3.1%), GPS 18.50 +1.12 (6%), and VMW 144.68 +1.98 (1.3%).
FOOD SUPPLY CHAIN was HIGHER with TSN +.60, BGS +.19, FLO +.06, CPB +.51, CAG +.24, MDLZ -.23, KHC -.15, CALM +.35, JJSF +3.36, SAFM +6.71, HRL +.03, PPC +.36, SJM -.81, KR -.21 and PBJ $34.40 -.2 (.07%).
BIOPHARMA was MIXED with BIIB +.09, ABBV -.11, REGN +2.97, ISRG +9.40, GILD +.02, MYL -.16, TEVA -.12, VRTX +2.84, BHC -.31, INCY +.55, ICPT -.36, LABU -1.18, and IBB $132.67 -.15 (.11%).
CANNABIS: was HIGHER with TLRY -.05, CGC +.03, CRON +.10, GWPH -1.01, ACB +.14, NBEV unch., CURLF +.18, KERN -.15, and MJ $12.34 unchanged.
DEFENSE: was HIGHER with LMT +.40, GD +2.36, TXT +.49, NOC +7.59, BWXT -.48, TDY +.88, RTX +.43, and ITA $168.07 +1.46 (.88%).
RETAIL: was HIGHER with M +.15, JWN +.25, KSS +.50, DDS +.30, WMT +7.75, TGT -1.93, TJX +.49, RL +.61, UAA +.09, LULU -4.55, TPR +.04, CPRI +.47, and XRT $52.50 -.38 (.72%).
FAANG and Big Cap: were LOWER with GOOGL -15.61, AMZN -36.34, AAPL -5.19, FB -11.66, NFLX -19.98, NVDA -6.78, TSLA +93.83, BABA -9.01, BIDU -.41, CMG +8.21, BA +3.10, CAT +1.82, DIS +2.33, and XLK $122.40 +.41 (.34%). PLEASE BE AWARE THAT THESE PRICES ARE LATE MARKET QUOTES AND DO NOT REPRESENT THE 4:00 CLOSES.
FINANCIALS were HIGHER with GS ++3.09, JPM +3.61, BAC +.59, MS +1.07, C +1.06, PNC +3.69, AIG +.62, TRV +3.64, AXP +3.60, V +1.40, and XLF $25.26 +.42 (1.69%).
OIL, $43.04 -.35. Oil was higher in today’s trading before we fell to the middle of the day’s range. Some of the gains may be storm related, but gasoline is helping support prices. The stocks were MIXED with XLE $35.80 +.07 (.20%).
GOLD $1,9532.60 -19.90, rose early in the session and moved higher to the 1963 range. I am still a bull on the metal, and we have a September bull call spread on using NEM 65/70 calls with a cost of $1.45, which closed today @ $1.59 -19.
BITCOIN: closed $11,270 -210. After breaking out over $10,000 we have had a “running correction” pushing prices toward $12,000, reaching a recovery high of $12220 Thursday, and after a day of rest in between, we resumed the rally touching $12,635, but have sold off back to support. We had 750 shares of GBTC and sold off 250 last week at $13.93 and still have 500 with a cost of $8.45. GBTC closed $12.88 -58 today.
Tomorrow is another day.
CAM
submitted by Dashover to OptionsOnly [link] [comments]

Oracle Info!

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- My channels are for entertainment purposes only Iam not a financial adviser nor am I recommending you invest in anything I talk about crypto is risky and has no guaranties. We can win or lose anything we put into crypto and you need to be aware of this. I make an affiliate commission if you do click an of my links and these affiliate commissions are available to anyone who shares a link. I am not a paid promoter and have never accepted payment or any sort of compensation for making my videos.
submitted by cryptopunk98 to BitmexFastMoneyTrader [link] [comments]

Perfect storm leads to big sell-off for Bitcoin and DeFi: Weekly recap

A sharp correction in equities markets led Bitcoin price and DeFi tokens to sell-off sharply but have investors turned bearish?
Digital asset markets were on a parabolic surge until investor confidence took a major hit to close out the week with a bearish tilt due to a perfect storm of negativity.
Before reading the rundown, catch up on the most-read stories centered around the price of Bitcoin, the macroeconomic picture and the DeFi phenomenon gaining traction.
Bitcoin price, stocks and gold plunge in tandem — What’s next?
Don’t panic? ‘Smart money’ whales are waiting to buy Bitcoin at $8,800
Yearn.finance’s $140M yETH vault proves investors are ravenous for DeFi
Bitcoin mirrors gains of past halvings, suggesting $41K price in 2020
⁠Ethereum gas fees reach $500K as ETH price hits a 2020-high at $486
A significant drop in equities markets was led by blue-chip stocks that had been at all-time highs. As this occurred, many tokens tied to DeFi platforms corrected sharply, most notably, SushiSwap (SUSHI) which lost nearly 40 percent of its value.
The correction in traditional markets appears to have influenced Bitcoin’s (BTC) more than 10 percent drop before a small bounce back to the $10.3-$10.4K range.
More isn’t always merrier
Technology stocks that led US equities to record highs this summer reversed sharply this week, sending the Nasdaq Composite index tumbling almost five percent in its biggest fall since June.
Apple’s shares lost eight percent — wiping more than $150 billion from the iPhone maker’s value — while Amazon, Alphabet and Microsoft all fell more than four percent.
As a result, the VIX index jumped above the 30-point mark for the first time since mid-July, and the equivalent volatility index for the Nasdaq shot up to more than 40 points — nearly double its mid-August low.
Historically, the VIX has only surged into the 30s a handful of times in the past and almost always leads to a significant retracement.
It is a reminder that crowded trades bring a lot of volatility when someone begins to unwind their positions. Digital asset traders are more than aware of such dynamics and while the bulls may be feeling particularly salty about the reversal of fortunes, the pull-back offers an opportunity to rebuild.
The futures curve also flattened aggressively as leverage buyers were the first ones to look for cover, and there are plenty of opportunities in the options market to take advantage of market mispricing.
Are DeFi tokens the new pink sheets?
Ethereum transactions soared to multiple new all-time highs for the second time in three weeks and Uniswap V2: Router 2 is now the lead contributor to gas usage, according to Etherscan. The decentralized exchange is followed by Tether (USDT); and then the latest DeFi sweetheart that is SushiSwap: MasterChef LP Staking Pool.
And so, Tether has finally been dethroned from its top spot as the main contributor of gas usage.
The fact that it was toppled by none other than a DeFi platform speaks a lot for the recent growth of the industry and, as it stands, over $9.34 billion is locked across various platforms. Currently, Aave, Maker and Uniswap constitute about $1.5 billion TVL each.
On the one hand, DeFi is a high risk, high reward market, but so is trading small-cap (pink sheet) stocks. Both clearly have a market, and always will among those with an appetite for risk.
Is relief from high gas fees on the way?
The ongoing focus on DeFi and the recent hyperactivity on Ethereum has resulted in sky-high congestion and gas fees. This led Ethereum founder Vitalik Buterin to point out several solutions through rollups and sharding.
ZK-Rollups are a zero-knowledge proof technique that helps rollup or batch many transactions into a single transaction, and therefore, helps reduce congestion on the Ethereum blockchain. Less congestion means lower fees.
Optimistic and ZK roll ups can increase capacity from ~15 tx/sec to ~3000 tx/sec by doing most of the transaction processing on layer 2. Sharding, on the other hand, increases the capacity of the base layer by ~100x.
This could lead to a 100x decrease in fees, though realistically in the long term it would not decrease quite as much because the demand for Ethereum is also likely to increase.
The only solution to high transaction fees is scaling and Tether, Gitcoin and other apps are doing the right thing by migrating to ZK rollups. A positive development is that Tether is now planning to add support for another Layer-2 scaling solution (ZK-Rollups).

Bitcoin

Ethereum

Nasdaq

Transactions

Markets

Stocks

DeFi

submitted by DiFi_Update to u/DiFi_Update [link] [comments]

Zoom!

For Trading September 1st
Zoom, Zoom, Zoom!
New Highs for NAZ & S&P-500
AAPL & TSLA CONTINUE HIGHER
Today’s market was another split affair with the DJIA, including it 3 new members was down all day and finished -223.82 (.78%) while the NASDAQ was +79.83 (.68%), S&P 500 was -7.70 (.22%) even though it made a new intraday high at 3514.77, the Russell was weak -16.47 (1.04%) and the biggest loser, DJ Transports 136.65 (1.21%). Market internals were soft with NYSE 2.2:1 and NASDAQ 1.8:1, both down. The VIX was 26.41 +3.69 (16.24%), not a good thing at all. Volume was slightly higher. On the DJIA there were only 6 higher with AAPL +28 and UNH +18 DPs. BA was the biggest loser -26, V and DIS -24, MSFT -23, and GS, JPM, and V all down 18DPs. Verizon (VZ) was unchanged.
Our “open forum” on Discord, which allows me to interact with subscribers and others to allow direct questions and chart opinions on just about any stock, continues to grow with more participants every day. It is informative and allows me to share insights as the market is open and moving. The link is: https://discord.gg/ATvC7YZ and I will be there and active from before the open and all day. It’s a great place to share ideas and gain some insights, and we’ve grown to almost 3000 members. I also returned to my radio show today with a great live interview with the Chief Medical Officer of JANONE (JAN) and it was a great show. This is the link to the audio recording including my discussion of the market and the very exciting story of JAN’s phenomenal NON-OPIOID Pain Med! This is the link: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oCFCxnijFO4 Enjoy!!
Tonight’s closing comment video: https://youtu.be/8ZZ1qYQiOKA
SECTORS: We started the day with the news that the FDA was fast tracking Vaccines and Exact Sciences (EXAS), the maker of those Colon cancer at home tests getting emergency authorization for an at home nasal swab for COVID-19 testing. The stock, $ .36 in 2008 has traded as high as $123 in 2019, traded up to $77.75 this morning and managed a close of $75.24 +2.13 (2.8%). WMT, ORCL, and MSFT were all down early and while they rallied a bit, they were all down on the day with questions about the TIK TOK sale. AMZN got FAA approval of “drone delivery” of packages and the stock traded as high as $3495 before closing $3455 +4 of packages and the stock traded as high as $3495 before closing $3455 +53.20 (1.56%). AAPL (4:1) was + $4.44 on its new split price at $129.24 and TSLA (5:1) closed $508.88 +66.02 (14.95%). Doesn’t anyone realize that with fractional shares traded everywhere that it’s no different than getting 5 $1’s for a $5 bill? And the big winner today was Aimmune Therapeutics (AIMT), who agreed to be bought by Nestle, S.A. (Nestle Health Care) for $34.50 in cash. AIMT’s main product is an already approved treatment for Peanut allergies. The stock, which had a high of $42.00 in 2/2018 had closed Friday @ $12.60 and opened $34.19 and finished the day $34.15 +21.55 (171%). FOOD SUPPLY CHAIN was HIGHER with TSN -1.09, BGS +.03, FLO +.04, CPB +.84, MDLZ -.14, KHC +.10, CALM -2.52, JJSF -1.28, SAFM -.13, HRL +.38, SJM +.53, PPC -.33, KR +.34, and PBJ $34.35 +.03 (.10%).
BIOPHARMA was HIGHER with BIIB +6.18, ABBV +1.52, REGN +15.72, ISRG +2.83, GILD +1.16, MYL +.15, TEVA +.17, VRTX +8.44, BHC -.29, INCY +2.45, ICPT +.46, LABU +3.88, and IBB $135.62 +2.57 (1.93%).
CANNABIS: was MIXED with TLRY +.03, CGC -.38, CRON -.14, GWPH +.98, ACB -.02, NBEV +.02, CURLF -.24, KERN -.15, and MJ $12.96 +.28 (2.21%).
DEFENSE: was LOWER with LMT -2.94, GD -2.92, TXT -.54, NOC -2.14, BWXT -.39, TDY -2.83, RTX -1.24, and ITA $167.04 -2.36 (1.40%).
RETAIL: was LOWER with M -.02, JWN +.32, KSS -.29, DDS -.23, WMT -1.53, TGT +.40, TJX -.30, RL -2.36, UAA -.34, LULU -1.29, TPR -.15, CPRI -1.10, and XRT $51.79 -.77 (1.45%).
FAANG and Big Cap: were MIXED with GOOGL -10.43, AMZN +57.64, AAPL +4.40, FB -.98, NFLX +3.11, NVDA +8.79, TSLA +66.77, BABA -2.60, BIDU -4.47, CMG +8.74, BA -3.70, CAT =1.32, DIS -3.73, and XLK $123.40 +.24 (.19%). PLEASE BE AWARE THAT THESE PRICES ARE LATE MARKET QUOTES AND DO NOT REPRESENT THE 4:00 CLOSES.
FINANCIALS were LOWER with GS -1.69, JPM -2.58, BAC -.59, MS -.63, C -1.22, PNC -1.35, AIG -.23, AXP -1.04, V -4.26, and XLF $24.99 -.37 (1.45%).
OIL, $42.61 -.36. Oil was higher in today’s trading before we fell to the middle of the day’s range. Some of the gains that were storm related were taken back without the shortages that generally occur during the hurricane season. The stocks were LOWER with XLE $35.67 -.77 (2.11%).
GOLD $1,978.60 +3.70, rose early in the session and moved higher to the 1985 range before falling back to close midrange. I am still a bull on the metal, and we have a September bull call spread on using NEM 65/70 calls with a cost of $1.45, which closed today @ $2.33.
BITCOIN: closed $11,835 +205. After breaking out over $10,000 we have had a “running correction” pushing prices toward $12,000, reaching a recovery high of $12220 Thursday, and after a day of rest in between, we resumed the rally touching $12,635, but have sold off back to support. We had 750 shares of GBTC and sold off 250 last week at $13.93 and still have 500 with a cost of $8.45. GBTC closed $1213.52 +.32 today.
Just a quick mention about two commodity related trades discussed in last night’s Weekly Insights: Coffee continued higher again today closing $129.05 +2.70, and the proxy for this is the coffee ETN: JO $39.27 + 1.18 (3.08%). I also talked about Natural Gas being ready for a pullback, and after trading down to $2.4970 -$ .16 (6%), it rallied back to close $2.63 and is +.01 again tonight. Our proxy for this is UNG, which traded down to $13.42 before turning back up to close $14.20, only .05 from the high of the day.
Tomorrow is another day.
CAM
submitted by Dashover to OptionsOnly [link] [comments]

Bitcoin and Biogen among the second round 2019 Stock Draft picks The VIX, Irrational Markets, Bitcoin and Steem. Dreiste Fake-Werbung mit DIE HÖHLE DER LÖWEN - YouTube Stocks to Watch this Week: Covid Biotechs, Bitcoin Stocks ... Video: The Differences Between Trading EUR/USD, the Yuan, VIX and Bitcoin

Related Reading Why Bitcoin Ditching Stock Market Correlation For Gold Is Bullish for BTC. Related articles. Bitcoin Reaches 144 Weeks From All-Time High: Why This Number Matters. September 15, 2020. 33.8k . Here’s Why Bitcoin Is Poised to Bounce After Plunging $300. September 15, 2020. 33.8k . But as the stock market sets a new high, it has created a bearish divergence with the VIX ... Bitcoin and global stocks fell hours after the first presidential debate between Donald Trump and Joe Biden concluded on a chaotic note.. The benchmark cryptocurrency erased a significant portion of its Tuesday gains to turn 1.19 percent lower. At the same time, futures tied to America’s S&P 500 index plunged 0.85 percent, hinting to open in negative territory at the New York opening bell ... Bitcoin's price inversely correlates with the CBOE Volatility Index (VIX), meaning the premier cryptocurrency is still a risk-asset and not a safe haven. VIX: Hier finden Sie alle Informationen über den Index VIX: Historische Kurse, Charts und zugehörige Werte. Bitcoin is the cryptocurrency with the largest market capitalization, and many studies have examined its role in financial markets. In this manuscript, we contribute to the extant body of knowledge by analyzing the Bitcoin behavior and the effect that investor sentiment, S&P 500 returns, and VIX returns have on Bitcoin volatility using GARCH and EGARCH models.

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Bitcoin and Biogen among the second round 2019 Stock Draft picks

Use promo code maneco64 to get a 0.5% discount on physical gold and silver bullion purchases at https://www.goldinvestments.co.uk/ GlintPay App, Save and Spe... Talking Points: • Trading different markets requires an appreciation of their particular landscape they form • Considerations of liquidity, market participant, fundamental themes and technical ... Ganze Folge auf: https://massengeschmack.tv/clip/mt15 ----- "Die Höhle der Löwen" auf VOX boomt, und so ist... CNBC's "Power Lunch" hosts the 2019 Stock Draft. O'Shares ETFs chairman Kevin O'Leary, Wall Street mentalist Oz Pearlman and the Beardstown Ladies make their second round picks. This year's other ... This video is unavailable. Watch Queue Queue. Watch Queue Queue

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